Pre-tourney Rankings
Murray St.
Ohio Valley
2013-14
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.0#167
Expected Predictive Rating-0.5#175
Pace69.7#131
Improvement+4.5#28

Offense
Total Offense+2.0#124
Improvement+6.3#3

Defense
Total Defense-1.9#223
Improvement-1.8#270
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2013 160   @ Valparaiso L 74-77 38%     0 - 1 +0.2 -3.6 +4.1
  Nov 15, 2013 183   @ Old Dominion L 60-70 44%     0 - 2 -8.4 -10.0 +1.8
  Nov 23, 2013 117   @ Auburn L 67-75 27%     0 - 3 -1.7 -2.1 +0.2
  Nov 26, 2013 97   Middle Tennessee L 62-80 42%     0 - 4 -16.0 -4.1 -12.6
  Nov 30, 2013 69   @ St. Mary's L 64-89 17%     0 - 5 -14.9 +1.6 -19.3
  Dec 04, 2013 204   Evansville W 65-63 69%     1 - 5 -3.2 -4.1 +1.1
  Dec 07, 2013 272   Lipscomb W 73-69 80%     2 - 5 -4.8 -7.6 +2.8
  Dec 17, 2013 159   Southern Illinois W 73-65 59%     3 - 5 +5.7 -4.3 +9.6
  Dec 21, 2013 181   @ Western Kentucky L 64-71 43%     3 - 6 -5.2 -2.0 -3.6
  Dec 29, 2013 60   @ Dayton L 51-72 14%     3 - 7 -9.5 -11.6 -0.5
  Jan 02, 2014 234   Southeast Missouri St. W 82-75 75%     4 - 7 1 - 0 +0.1 -6.2 +5.5
  Jan 05, 2014 320   Tennessee Martin W 91-77 90%     5 - 7 2 - 0 +0.0 +5.3 -5.5
  Jan 08, 2014 144   @ Eastern Kentucky W 77-64 34%     6 - 7 3 - 0 +17.4 +6.1 +11.9
  Jan 11, 2014 292   Austin Peay W 89-67 85%     7 - 7 4 - 0 +10.7 +4.4 +4.9
  Jan 16, 2014 299   @ Eastern Illinois W 70-66 73%     8 - 7 5 - 0 -2.2 -9.4 +7.0
  Jan 18, 2014 289   @ SIU Edwardsville L 60-67 71%     8 - 8 5 - 1 -12.6 -15.1 +2.3
  Jan 23, 2014 275   Tennessee Tech W 92-53 80%     9 - 8 6 - 1 +30.0 +17.6 +13.5
  Jan 25, 2014 309   Jacksonville St. W 73-65 88%     10 - 8 7 - 1 -4.4 +0.1 -3.9
  Jan 31, 2014 292   @ Austin Peay W 96-88 71%     11 - 8 8 - 1 +2.3 +11.5 -9.9
  Feb 06, 2014 121   @ Belmont L 96-99 28%     11 - 9 8 - 2 +2.9 +12.8 -9.5
  Feb 08, 2014 290   @ Tennessee St. W 73-65 71%     12 - 9 9 - 2 +2.4 +0.8 +2.2
  Feb 13, 2014 289   SIU Edwardsville W 82-72 85%     13 - 9 10 - 2 -1.2 +3.3 -4.4
  Feb 15, 2014 299   Eastern Illinois W 72-60 86%     14 - 9 11 - 2 +0.2 +2.7 -0.9
  Feb 22, 2014 184   Morehead St. W 69-58 65%     15 - 9 12 - 2 +7.0 +5.3 +3.3
  Feb 27, 2014 320   @ Tennessee Martin W 86-72 79%     16 - 9 13 - 2 +5.6 +6.5 -0.6
  Mar 01, 2014 234   @ Southeast Missouri St. L 115-118 2OT 55%     16 - 10 13 - 3 -4.4 +10.4 -14.1
  Mar 07, 2014 144   Eastern Kentucky L 83-86 44%     16 - 11 -1.4 +3.3 -4.5
Projected Record 16.0 - 11.0 13.0 - 3.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 0.0%
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 100.0% 100.0
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%